Naftali Bennett's return, Netanyahu's new nightmare

The latest polls published on April 4, 2025, indicate a dramatic change in the political scene of the Zionist regime. "Naftali Bennett", the former Prime Minister of Israel, who after a period of absence from politics, recently registered a new party with the temporary name "Bennett 2026", has managed to capture 29 Knesset seats in the first public opinion assessment after his official return.

The aforementioned poll initially assessed the political situation in Israel without Bennett. In this scenario, the Likud party led by Benjamin Netanyahu would come out on top with 24 seats, but this number would not be enough to form a majority coalition.

In this scenario, the order of the three leading parties is as follows:

1. - Likud (Netanyahu): 24 seats
2. - Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman): 16 seats
3. - Government bloc coalition (Gantz): 14 seats

Analysis of these statistics shows that the current coalition led by Netanyahu will win only 53 seats out of 120 Knesset seats, which is not enough to form a coalition government (requiring at least 61 seats). On the other hand, Netanyahu's opponents will not be able to form a government with 57 seats without the support of Arab parties. However, if the Ra'em party joins the opposition, they will be able to form a new government with 62 seats.

In the second scenario, where Bennett's return to politics is evaluated, significant developments occur. The newly formed party "Bennett 2026" will be in the lead with 29 seats, and the Likud Party will be reduced to 21 seats, losing 3 seats compared to the previous scenario.

The distribution of Knesset seats in the Bennett return scenario will be as follows:

1. - Bennett 2026 Party: 29 seats
2. - Likud Party (Netanyahu): 21 seats
3. - Democrats (Golan): 10 seats

A notable point in this scenario is the elimination of the Religious Zionist Party led by Betzaleel Smotrich, the current Minister of Finance of the Zionist regime, which failed to obtain the necessary quorum to enter the Knesset.

According to this poll, if Bennett returns to the political arena, the defeat of Netanyahu's faction will be more severe, and it will be reduced from 53 to 45 seats by losing another 8 seats. This is while Bennett's bloc and Netanyahu's opposition parties will be able to form a coalition by winning 65 seats, without the need for the support of Arab parties and with a suitable security margin.

Political experts believe that Bennett's return to the Israeli political arena could completely change the power equations and mark the end of Netanyahu's long term as prime minister. These developments are taking place in a situation where the Zionist regime continues to face numerous security and political challenges in the region.

According to analysts, the remarkable success of Bennett's newly established party in the polls indicates the deep dissatisfaction of a significant part of Israeli society with the performance of the current government. However, it remains to be seen whether this trend will continue in future polls and whether Bennett can maintain this popularity until the elections.